Written on Sunday, October 14, 2012 by Ralph Barker
Unemployment rates have dropped, plunged, and crashed to a whopping low of only 7.8%, a figure not seen for the last 43 months. What wonderful, unexpected news! You believe it right?
Obama Has Done It! His policies are working. The Recession Is Over! Really? I wonder if the 23 million unemployed folks are celebrating the great news. Many business and political leaders, including Jack Welch and Allen West do not accept this report as being honest or factual.
Jack Welch, former CEO of General Electric was the first to come on the air the morning the unemployment report was released. It was Friday, October 5th. Welch voiced his strong objection to the report’s validity. Basically, he said the fix was in and the figures were bogus. His actual tweet read, “Unbelievable jobs numbers..these Chicago guys will do anything..can’t debate so change numbers.” Later, he denied implicating the White House. Maybe some of the boys had a talk with him?
Representative Allen West of Florida was another well-known personality to raise questions about the unemployment figures. He posted on Facebook, “Somehow by manipulation of data we are all of a sudden below 8 percent unemployment, a month from the presidential election. This is Orwellian to say the least.”
When Allen West mentioned Orwell, I bet he was referring to his prophetic book, 1984 regarding the government’s constant reporting of false figures. This was a recurring theme in the 1984 story. Here is one such paragraph I had previously underlined in my copy of Orwell’s book:
“…the Ministry of Plenty’s forecast had estimated the output of boots for the quarter at a hundred and forty-five million pairs. The actual output was given as sixty-two millions. Winston, however, in rewriting the forecast, marked the figure down to fifty-seven millions, so as to allow for the usual claim that the quota had been overfilled. In any case, sixty-two millions was no nearer the truth than fifty-seven millions, or than a hundred and forty-five millions. Very likely no boots had been produced at all. Likelier still, nobody knew how many had been produced, much less cared. All one knew was that every quarter astronomical numbers of boots were produced on paper, while perhaps half the population of Oceania went barefoot.”
Stuart Varney of Fox News was another to report that there was widespread distrust of the September unemployment figures. People are suspicious because the math simply doesn’t calculate to a 7.8% rate.
For the Obama campaign the 7.8% is a very important statistic. The Republicans have been pounding home the point that the unemployment rate has not been under 8% for 43 months in a row. A 7.8% figure, if true, would reduce some of the Republican’s ownership of this issue. It would give Obama a little more credibility too.
I remember that when I rolled out of bed the morning the report was released, I immediately turned on the news to see what the unemployment rate was reported to be. I knew this particular monthly report, being just weeks out from the November 6th election, would probably have some influence on the final outcome. Based on weekly unemployment reports and other data that I had monitored during the month I really expected the unemployment number to stay at 8.1%, or maybe drop 8% at best.
After Obama’s poor performance in the first debate, he had to be praying for a good unemployment report. Whoever he prayed to must have smiled down upon him. The unemployment rate for September was reported to be only 7.8%, an unbelievable, truly “unbelievable” drop from last month’s 8.1%. I wondered whether I was the only one who thought something didn’t pass the smell test? No, I was not alone. As I mentioned previously, I was in great company. There were many others who shared my suspicions.
Now, in spite of the new math, I’m positive that two plus two still equals two. It appears that two plus two doesn’t equal two in liberal land. 114,000 new jobs do not translate to 7.8% unemployment.
According to www.mediate.com and other news outlets the math is faulty. Mediate.com states it this way, “Analysts expected between 80,000 and 130,000 new jobs were created this month (September), approximately enough to keep up with population growth but not impact the number of unemployed workers. Analysts also expected the unemployment rate to tick slightly upwards to 8.2 percent.” My estimates were close to what the analysts expected. We definitely see quite a difference in opinion here. Who do you believe?
Now the left has responded to critics of the new rate by calling them “conspiracy theorists.” They continue to employ one of the most effective liberal attack tactics. They use the age old ad hominem (attack to the man) since they can’t handle the facts. They cannot defend Obama’s record so they attack the people who expose his record or dispute his “facts.”
We’ve seen this ploy a lot in the Obama Administration. If you disagree with a policy, you are a racist. You hate Obama. If you don’t believe in abortion, homosexuality, or income redistribution, you are an extremist. If you dare to believe in that raggedy old Constitution then you are labeled a nut, and one who is out of touch with the times. If you support Romney, you are a greedy, selfish, cold hearted, ignorant, capitalist.
Which are you?