With 23 Democrat Senate seats and only 10 Republican seats up for election this year, a Republican Senate majority was supposed to be within easy reach. The only question was how big a majority.
But with about six weeks until the election, a disturbing picture of the Senatorial elections is emerging.
The Real Clear Politics (RCP) Senate map shows Republicans picking up just one seat, taking the Senate from the current 53-47 Democrat to 52-48 Democrat. The RCP projection has Republicans picking up North Dakota, Nebraska and Montana, but losing Massachusetts and Maine. Even Montana is a very close race, with the Democrat incumbent Jon Tester within one point of the challenger, Denny Rehberg.