America’s two top pollsters, Gallup and Rasmussen, both increased Romney’s lead over Obama in the wake of the second presidential debate. With a one-third post-debate sample, today’s Rasmussen has Romney up 49-47% and Gallup’s 7-day tracker has Romney up 52-45%. Romney gained a point in both.

Most everyone was expecting Gallup to tighten today, including me. And you just know the Democrats and the media prayed to Gaia for a little movement their way.

Yesterday, I offered one possible explanation for the differences in the two polls. You can read that here.

Though it’s entirely too early to tell what permanent effect (if any) a frantic and more conscious Obama performance in the second debate might do to the margins, a look at where the campaigns are at now does give us a clue.

Continue reading →